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Next French Prime Minister

Market icon

Next French Prime Minister

Other 100.0%

Lucie Castets <1%

David Lisnard <1%

Éric Zemmour <1%

Polymarket

$1,391,916 Объем

Other 100.0%

Lucie Castets <1%

David Lisnard <1%

Éric Zemmour <1%

Polymarket

$1,391,916 Объем

Lucie Castets

$24,790 Объем

No

David Lisnard

$27,166 Объем

No

Éric Zemmour

$73,060 Объем

No

Xavier Bertrand

$24,839 Объем

No

Jordan Bardella

$102,335 Объем

No

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$138,594 Объем

No

Pierre Moscovici

$17,312 Объем

No

Éric Lombard

$17,499 Объем

No

Jean Castex

$20,509 Объем

No

Election called

$95,598 Объем

No

Élisabeth Borne

$161,777 Объем

No

Jean-Louis Borloo

$49,342 Объем

No

Olivier Faure

$52,841 Объем

No

Gérard Larcher

$27,929 Объем

No

Other

$10,417 Объем

Yes

No new PM

$272,235 Объем

No

Laurent Wauquiez

$31,554 Объем

No

Bruno Retailleau

$16,699 Объем

No

Valérie Pécresse

$9,121 Объем

No

Gérald Darmanin

$37,190 Объем

No

Bernard Cazeneuve

$42,471 Объем

No

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$25,607 Объем

No

Catherine Vautrin

$17,897 Объем

No

Roland Lescure

$16,857 Объем

No

Gabriel Attal

$27,819 Объем

No

François Bayrou

$21,107 Объем

No

Thierry Beaudet

$17,081 Объем

No

Boris Vallaud

$12,269 Объем

No

This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu.

Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote.

If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”.

If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”.

The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,391,916
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Oct 6, 2025, 1:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding Sébastien Lecornu. Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. If no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”. If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next French Prime Minister" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 100%, followed by "Lucie Castets" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next French Prime Minister" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next French Prime Minister," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next French Prime Minister" is "Other" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lucie Castets" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next French Prime Minister" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.