MetService's latest short-range forecast, updated overnight on April 1, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 2 at 18-19°C under fine skies with northerlies developing in the morning, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes at 35.5% and 28.5% implied probabilities. Northerly winds will advect warmer maritime air from lower latitudes, boosting potential daytime highs via enhanced insolation if morning clouds dissipate rapidly, favoring 19-20°C (19.5%); lighter breezes or lingering low cloud could cap peaks at 17-18°C by limiting solar heating on this autumn day when historical April maxima average 16-17°C. Forecast models show ensemble spread reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution, with next MetService update due afternoon April 1 potentially sharpening odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
19°C 37%
18°C 24%
20°C 22%
17°C 7%
$18,145 Объем
$18,145 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
24%
19°C
37%
20°C
22%
21°C or higher
7%
19°C 37%
18°C 24%
20°C 22%
17°C 7%
$18,145 Объем
$18,145 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
24%
19°C
37%
20°C
22%
21°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest short-range forecast, updated overnight on April 1, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 2 at 18-19°C under fine skies with northerlies developing in the morning, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes at 35.5% and 28.5% implied probabilities. Northerly winds will advect warmer maritime air from lower latitudes, boosting potential daytime highs via enhanced insolation if morning clouds dissipate rapidly, favoring 19-20°C (19.5%); lighter breezes or lingering low cloud could cap peaks at 17-18°C by limiting solar heating on this autumn day when historical April maxima average 16-17°C. Forecast models show ensemble spread reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution, with next MetService update due afternoon April 1 potentially sharpening odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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