MetService's midday observations on April 2 show Wellington Central's Kelburn station reaching 18.9°C under fine skies and developing northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with forecasts pinning the daily maximum at 19°C—yet trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 20°C reflects Wellington International Airport station data, which typically logs 1–2°C higher due to its lower elevation and coastal location. April climatology averages 17°C maxima, but today's clear conditions and light winds favor mild warming, aligning with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unforecast cloud, potentially capping below 20°C, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as peak heating nears resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
20°C 99.8%
21°C or higher <1%
17°C <1%
$164,673 Объем
$164,673 Объем
2 апр. 2026 г.
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
21°C or higher <1%
17°C <1%
$164,673 Объем
$164,673 Объем
2 апр. 2026 г.
17°C
$23,786 Объем
<1%
20°C
$32,055 Объем
100%
21°C or higher
$19,674 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's midday observations on April 2 show Wellington Central's Kelburn station reaching 18.9°C under fine skies and developing northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with forecasts pinning the daily maximum at 19°C—yet trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 20°C reflects Wellington International Airport station data, which typically logs 1–2°C higher due to its lower elevation and coastal location. April climatology averages 17°C maxima, but today's clear conditions and light winds favor mild warming, aligning with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unforecast cloud, potentially capping below 20°C, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as peak heating nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Объем
$164,673Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's midday observations on April 2 show Wellington Central's Kelburn station reaching 18.9°C under fine skies and developing northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with forecasts pinning the daily maximum at 19°C—yet trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 20°C reflects Wellington International Airport station data, which typically logs 1–2°C higher due to its lower elevation and coastal location. April climatology averages 17°C maxima, but today's clear conditions and light winds favor mild warming, aligning with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unforecast cloud, potentially capping below 20°C, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as peak heating nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$164,673Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
MetService's midday observations on April 2 show Wellington Central's Kelburn station reaching 18.9°C under fine skies and developing northerlies from a dominant high-pressure ridge, with forecasts pinning the daily maximum at 19°C—yet trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 20°C reflects Wellington International Airport station data, which typically logs 1–2°C higher due to its lower elevation and coastal location. April climatology averages 17°C maxima, but today's clear conditions and light winds favor mild warming, aligning with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or unforecast cloud, potentially capping below 20°C, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as peak heating nears resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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