Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the odds of Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,400 by June 30 at around 25%, reflecting caution amid persistent U.S. inflation pressures and a resilient dollar. Spot gold trades near $2,330/oz, down from May peaks, as real yields on 10-year Treasuries hover above 2%, curbing non-yielding assets' appeal. Key drivers include Fed rate cut expectations—now dialed back to 40bps for 2024 per CME FedWatch—and robust central bank buying (2,335 tonnes YTD). Watch June 12 FOMC for hawkish signals and June 28 PCE inflation data; a hotter print could cap upside, while escalation in Middle East tensions boosts safe-haven flows. Historical June seasonality shows modest 0.5% average gains.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
Золото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
$24,071 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
4%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
11%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
23%
$5,400
29%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
47%
$4 600
51%
$24,071 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
4%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
11%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
23%
$5,400
29%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
47%
$4 600
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the odds of Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,400 by June 30 at around 25%, reflecting caution amid persistent U.S. inflation pressures and a resilient dollar. Spot gold trades near $2,330/oz, down from May peaks, as real yields on 10-year Treasuries hover above 2%, curbing non-yielding assets' appeal. Key drivers include Fed rate cut expectations—now dialed back to 40bps for 2024 per CME FedWatch—and robust central bank buying (2,335 tonnes YTD). Watch June 12 FOMC for hawkish signals and June 28 PCE inflation data; a hotter print could cap upside, while escalation in Middle East tensions boosts safe-haven flows. Historical June seasonality shows modest 0.5% average gains.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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