Finland leads trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which triumphed at UMK on February 28 with its infectious chorus, violin-flamethrower staging, and rare jury-televote balance evoking Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" surge. France's Monroe follows at 13% with the sophisticated "Regarde!," a March 6 internal pick excelling in jury odds for polished production. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.1%) rides emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from DMGP, while Australia's Delta Goodrem (7.8%) leverages star power in "Eclipse." Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas adds buzz, but the fragmented field underscores risks from rehearsals, semi-final draws on May 12/14, and final voting dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 35.0%
Франция 13.0%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,276,406 Объем
$49,276,406 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
Финляндия 35.0%
Франция 13.0%
Дания 11.1%
Австралия 7.8%
$49,276,406 Объем
$49,276,406 Объем

Финляндия
35%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Австралия
8%

Греция
7%

Израиль
4%

Швеция
4%

Украина
2%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Чехия
1%

Болгария
1%

Молдова
1%

Германия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Норвегия
1%

Албания
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Литва
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Португалия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Черногория
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland leads trader consensus at 34.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which triumphed at UMK on February 28 with its infectious chorus, violin-flamethrower staging, and rare jury-televote balance evoking Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha" surge. France's Monroe follows at 13% with the sophisticated "Regarde!," a March 6 internal pick excelling in jury odds for polished production. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.1%) rides emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from DMGP, while Australia's Delta Goodrem (7.8%) leverages star power in "Eclipse." Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas adds buzz, but the fragmented field underscores risks from rehearsals, semi-final draws on May 12/14, and final voting dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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