Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen top the trader consensus at 36.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their dominant UMK national selection victory with "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop punch that secured strong jury scores alongside televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, and chart-topping buzz have solidified their frontrunner status, while France surges to 12.5% on heavy wagering amid internal selection hype, Denmark holds 10.4% via Søren Torpegaard Lund's streaming momentum, and Greece (6.7%) gains from Akylas' buzz. Australia's Delta Goodrem adds 6.6% viability, but semi-final running orders just revealed could spark shifts ahead of May's qualifiers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 36.8%
Франция 12.5%
Дания 10.5%
Греция 6.7%
$58,104,146 Объем
$58,104,146 Объем

Финляндия
37%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Греция
7%

Австралия
7%

Израиль
4%

Украина
3%

Швеция
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Литва
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
Финляндия 36.8%
Франция 12.5%
Дания 10.5%
Греция 6.7%
$58,104,146 Объем
$58,104,146 Объем

Финляндия
37%

Франция
13%

Дания
11%

Греция
7%

Австралия
7%

Израиль
4%

Украина
3%

Швеция
3%

Италия
2%

Румыния
2%

Чехия
1%

Кипр
1%

Мальта
1%

Болгария
1%

Германия
1%

Литва
1%

Бельгия
1%

Хорватия
1%

Люксембург
1%

Молдова
1%

Норвегия
1%

Швейцария
1%

Соединённое Королевство
1%

Албания
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Эстония
<1%

Латвия
<1%

Сан-Марино
<1%

Армения
<1%

Азербайджан
<1%

Грузия
<1%

Черногория
<1%

Польша
<1%

Сербия
<1%

Португалия
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen top the trader consensus at 36.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their dominant UMK national selection victory with "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop punch that secured strong jury scores alongside televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, and chart-topping buzz have solidified their frontrunner status, while France surges to 12.5% on heavy wagering amid internal selection hype, Denmark holds 10.4% via Søren Torpegaard Lund's streaming momentum, and Greece (6.7%) gains from Akylas' buzz. Australia's Delta Goodrem adds 6.6% viability, but semi-final running orders just revealed could spark shifts ahead of May's qualifiers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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