Perennial powerhouses like Sweden and Croatia lead Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 10 odds, with Sweden's implied probability near 85% driven by its Melodifestivalen dominance and three wins since 2012, while Croatia sits at 65% post-Baby Lasagna's 2024 runner-up finish. Trader consensus favors big-five auto-qualifiers (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) and consistent performers like Ukraine and Finland, reflecting historical semi-final success rates above 70%. With national selections yet to begin, sentiment remains stable amid geopolitical flux for entries like Ukraine. Pivotal ahead: Eurovision 2025 semifinals in Basel (May 13-17), determining the 2026 host and shifting home-advantage dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$72,103 Объем

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Denmark
80%

Greece
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
71%

Italy
63%

Bulgaria
41%

Czechia
39%

Romania
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Latvia
31%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
21%

Luxembourg
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Albania
18%

Armenia
15%

Lithuania
15%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
14%

Germany
14%

Belgium
14%

Georgia
13%

Poland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
9%

Estonia
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
6%
$72,103 Объем

Finland
89%

Israel
86%

Denmark
80%

Greece
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
71%

Italy
63%

Bulgaria
41%

Czechia
39%

Romania
38%

Moldova
37%

Cyprus
36%

Latvia
31%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
21%

Luxembourg
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Albania
18%

Armenia
15%

Lithuania
15%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
14%

Germany
14%

Belgium
14%

Georgia
13%

Poland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Switzerland
10%

Azerbaijan
9%

Estonia
9%

San Marino
9%

Austria
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Perennial powerhouses like Sweden and Croatia lead Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 10 odds, with Sweden's implied probability near 85% driven by its Melodifestivalen dominance and three wins since 2012, while Croatia sits at 65% post-Baby Lasagna's 2024 runner-up finish. Trader consensus favors big-five auto-qualifiers (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) and consistent performers like Ukraine and Finland, reflecting historical semi-final success rates above 70%. With national selections yet to begin, sentiment remains stable amid geopolitical flux for entries like Ukraine. Pivotal ahead: Eurovision 2025 semifinals in Basel (May 13-17), determining the 2026 host and shifting home-advantage dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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