Trader sentiment for the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market remains highly speculative, driven primarily by the absence of key details like the host nation, participant entries, and semi-final draw, leaving implied probabilities anchored to historical qualification rates from past contests—where powerhouses like Sweden (78% historical SF advance rate) and Ukraine often dominate if allocated to SF2. Early national selection announcements, such as the UK's confirmed internal process and Australia's buzz around returning favorites, are nudging odds upward for fan-voted acts, while geopolitical tensions could sideline entries like Israel's. Watch for 2025 contest fallout in May and host bidding reveals by summer 2025, which will sharpen trader positions ahead of May 2026 qualifiers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕвровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
$21,092 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
93%

Австралия
91%

Болгария
84%

Мальта
79%

Кипр
78%

Чехия
66%

Албания
69%

Норвегия
68%

Румыния
64%

Люксембург
51%

Латвия
51%

Армения
41%

Швейцария
38%

Азербайджан
13%
$21,092 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
93%

Австралия
91%

Болгария
84%

Мальта
79%

Кипр
78%

Чехия
66%

Албания
69%

Норвегия
68%

Румыния
64%

Люксембург
51%

Латвия
51%

Армения
41%

Швейцария
38%

Азербайджан
13%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final market remains highly speculative, driven primarily by the absence of key details like the host nation, participant entries, and semi-final draw, leaving implied probabilities anchored to historical qualification rates from past contests—where powerhouses like Sweden (78% historical SF advance rate) and Ukraine often dominate if allocated to SF2. Early national selection announcements, such as the UK's confirmed internal process and Australia's buzz around returning favorites, are nudging odds upward for fan-voted acts, while geopolitical tensions could sideline entries like Israel's. Watch for 2025 contest fallout in May and host bidding reveals by summer 2025, which will sharpen trader positions ahead of May 2026 qualifiers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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