Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers remains speculative and stable, primarily driven by historical qualification rates from past semis—typically favoring established acts from Sweden, Ukraine, and Balkan nations like Croatia and Serbia, with implied probabilities hovering around 20-40% for top contenders absent song reveals. No participants are confirmed, as national selections won't ramp up until late 2025 post-Switzerland's May 2025 hosting. Recent 2024 momentum boosts odds for jury-friendly pop entries, while geopolitical tensions could sideline entrants. Critical upcoming catalysts: 2025 Grand Final winner dictating 2026 host bids (due summer 2025) and random semi-final draw after entries close early 2026, amplifying volatility for non-Big 5 hopefuls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕвровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
$34,521 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
94%

Австралия
92%

Болгария
84%

Мальта
79%

Кипр
78%

Албания
71%

Чехия
66%

Норвегия
68%

Румыния
56%

Люксембург
51%

Латвия
50%

Армения
42%

Швейцария
35%

Азербайджан
12%
$34,521 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
94%

Австралия
92%

Болгария
84%

Мальта
79%

Кипр
78%

Албания
71%

Чехия
66%

Норвегия
68%

Румыния
56%

Люксембург
51%

Латвия
50%

Армения
42%

Швейцария
35%

Азербайджан
12%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers remains speculative and stable, primarily driven by historical qualification rates from past semis—typically favoring established acts from Sweden, Ukraine, and Balkan nations like Croatia and Serbia, with implied probabilities hovering around 20-40% for top contenders absent song reveals. No participants are confirmed, as national selections won't ramp up until late 2025 post-Switzerland's May 2025 hosting. Recent 2024 momentum boosts odds for jury-friendly pop entries, while geopolitical tensions could sideline entrants. Critical upcoming catalysts: 2025 Grand Final winner dictating 2026 host bids (due summer 2025) and random semi-final draw after entries close early 2026, amplifying volatility for non-Big 5 hopefuls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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