Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers tilts toward perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Norway, and Ukraine, with implied probabilities around 70-90% for these nations based on historical advancement rates from semis—Sweden has qualified from semi-finals in 10 straight contests. With the host city and semi-final allocations undecided until the 2025 Basel winner emerges in May, early odds hinge on national selection buzz and fan sentiment rather than confirmed entries. Key upcoming catalysts include fall 2025 national finals across Europe and the January 2026 semi draw, which could shuffle pots and running order, introducing volatility; low trading volume signals caution as rumors of strong ballads from Scandinavia drive speculative buys.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕвровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
$21,092 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
93%

Австралия
91%

Болгария
84%

Мальта
79%

Кипр
78%

Чехия
66%

Албания
69%

Норвегия
68%

Румыния
64%

Люксембург
51%

Латвия
51%

Армения
41%

Швейцария
39%

Азербайджан
13%
$21,092 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
93%

Австралия
91%

Болгария
84%

Мальта
79%

Кипр
78%

Чехия
66%

Албания
69%

Норвегия
68%

Румыния
64%

Люксембург
51%

Латвия
51%

Армения
41%

Швейцария
39%

Азербайджан
13%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final qualifiers tilts toward perennial powerhouses like Sweden, Norway, and Ukraine, with implied probabilities around 70-90% for these nations based on historical advancement rates from semis—Sweden has qualified from semi-finals in 10 straight contests. With the host city and semi-final allocations undecided until the 2025 Basel winner emerges in May, early odds hinge on national selection buzz and fan sentiment rather than confirmed entries. Key upcoming catalysts include fall 2025 national finals across Europe and the January 2026 semi draw, which could shuffle pots and running order, introducing volatility; low trading volume signals caution as rumors of strong ballads from Scandinavia drive speculative buys.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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