A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026—the strongest and most recent M7+ event worldwide, following a M7.0 off Malaysia on February 22 after a quiet period since late 2025. This normal faulting quake at intermediate depth underscores the Pacific Ring of Fire's dominance in global seismicity, where over 80% of large events occur, but no foreshock swarms or elevated alerts signal an imminent follow-up as of March 28. Trader consensus reflects the unpredictable nature of plate tectonics, with historical averages of 15–20 M7+ quakes annually implying roughly one every 2–3 weeks, though short-term probabilities hinge on monitoring high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast ahead of any resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕще 7,0 или выше землетрясение на...?
Еще 7,0 или выше землетрясение на...?
NEW
$15,750 Объем
May 31, 2026
31 марта
13%
30 апреля
64%
31 мая
87%
$15,750 Объем
31 марта
$6,163 Объем
13%
30 апреля
$6,587 Объем
64%
31 мая
$3,001 Объем
87%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026—the strongest and most recent M7+ event worldwide, following a M7.0 off Malaysia on February 22 after a quiet period since late 2025. This normal faulting quake at intermediate depth underscores the Pacific Ring of Fire's dominance in global seismicity, where over 80% of large events occur, but no foreshock swarms or elevated alerts signal an imminent follow-up as of March 28. Trader consensus reflects the unpredictable nature of plate tectonics, with historical averages of 15–20 M7+ quakes annually implying roughly one every 2–3 weeks, though short-term probabilities hinge on monitoring high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast ahead of any resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Объем
$15,750Дата окончания
May 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026—the strongest and most recent M7+ event worldwide, following a M7.0 off Malaysia on February 22 after a quiet period since late 2025. This normal faulting quake at intermediate depth underscores the Pacific Ring of Fire's dominance in global seismicity, where over 80% of large events occur, but no foreshock swarms or elevated alerts signal an imminent follow-up as of March 28. Trader consensus reflects the unpredictable nature of plate tectonics, with historical averages of 15–20 M7+ quakes annually implying roughly one every 2–3 weeks, though short-term probabilities hinge on monitoring high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast ahead of any resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Объем
$15,750Дата окончания
May 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026—the strongest and most recent M7+ event worldwide, following a M7.0 off Malaysia on February 22 after a quiet period since late 2025. This normal faulting quake at intermediate depth underscores the Pacific Ring of Fire's dominance in global seismicity, where over 80% of large events occur, but no foreshock swarms or elevated alerts signal an imminent follow-up as of March 28. Trader consensus reflects the unpredictable nature of plate tectonics, with historical averages of 15–20 M7+ quakes annually implying roughly one every 2–3 weeks, though short-term probabilities hinge on monitoring high-risk zones like Japan, Indonesia, and the U.S. West Coast ahead of any resolution date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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