Trader consensus on markets for another magnitude 7.0+ earthquake reflects the inherent unpredictability of global seismicity, punctuated by the M7.5 event 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga on March 24— a normal faulting quake at 229 km depth in the Pacific Ring of Fire, confirmed by USGS data. This follows a M7.0 offshore Sabah, Malaysia on February 22, maintaining 2026's pace near the historical average of 15-20 such events yearly despite prior lulls since late 2025. No short-term precursors or forecasts exist, as earthquakes defy prediction; traders monitor USGS listings for resolution, with typical Poisson-distributed odds favoring recurrence within weeks amid active zones like subduction trenches. Key watch: real-time seismic feeds for the next global shake-up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕще 7,0 или выше землетрясение на...?
Еще 7,0 или выше землетрясение на...?
$20,078 Объем
May 31, 2026
31 марта
12%
30 апреля
63%
31 мая
85%
$20,078 Объем
31 марта
$6,745 Объем
12%
30 апреля
$9,994 Объем
63%
31 мая
$3,339 Объем
85%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on markets for another magnitude 7.0+ earthquake reflects the inherent unpredictability of global seismicity, punctuated by the M7.5 event 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga on March 24— a normal faulting quake at 229 km depth in the Pacific Ring of Fire, confirmed by USGS data. This follows a M7.0 offshore Sabah, Malaysia on February 22, maintaining 2026's pace near the historical average of 15-20 such events yearly despite prior lulls since late 2025. No short-term precursors or forecasts exist, as earthquakes defy prediction; traders monitor USGS listings for resolution, with typical Poisson-distributed odds favoring recurrence within weeks amid active zones like subduction trenches. Key watch: real-time seismic feeds for the next global shake-up.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Объем
$20,078Дата окончания
May 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on markets for another magnitude 7.0+ earthquake reflects the inherent unpredictability of global seismicity, punctuated by the M7.5 event 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga on March 24— a normal faulting quake at 229 km depth in the Pacific Ring of Fire, confirmed by USGS data. This follows a M7.0 offshore Sabah, Malaysia on February 22, maintaining 2026's pace near the historical average of 15-20 such events yearly despite prior lulls since late 2025. No short-term precursors or forecasts exist, as earthquakes defy prediction; traders monitor USGS listings for resolution, with typical Poisson-distributed odds favoring recurrence within weeks amid active zones like subduction trenches. Key watch: real-time seismic feeds for the next global shake-up.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Объем
$20,078Дата окончания
May 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on markets for another magnitude 7.0+ earthquake reflects the inherent unpredictability of global seismicity, punctuated by the M7.5 event 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga on March 24— a normal faulting quake at 229 km depth in the Pacific Ring of Fire, confirmed by USGS data. This follows a M7.0 offshore Sabah, Malaysia on February 22, maintaining 2026's pace near the historical average of 15-20 such events yearly despite prior lulls since late 2025. No short-term precursors or forecasts exist, as earthquakes defy prediction; traders monitor USGS listings for resolution, with typical Poisson-distributed odds favoring recurrence within weeks amid active zones like subduction trenches. Key watch: real-time seismic feeds for the next global shake-up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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