Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 55% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 by March 31, driven primarily by resilient iPhone 16 demand and accelerating Services revenue growth amid AI integration hype. Current spot price hovers near $228 after a 2% weekly gain, supported by $110B share buyback authorization and China sales rebound per latest App Store data. Key risks include U.S. antitrust scrutiny on App Store fees and softening enterprise spending, with March CPI release (March 12) and FOMC meeting (March 18-19) pivotal for tech multiples. Historical March closes show AAPL averaging +1.2% gains, but volatility spikes near quarter-end position squaring.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$282,922 Объем
$210
98%
$220
98%
$230
88%
$240
78%
$250
47%
$260
18%
$270
8%
$280
7%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
$282,922 Объем
$210
98%
$220
98%
$230
88%
$240
78%
$250
47%
$260
18%
$270
8%
$280
7%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 55% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 by March 31, driven primarily by resilient iPhone 16 demand and accelerating Services revenue growth amid AI integration hype. Current spot price hovers near $228 after a 2% weekly gain, supported by $110B share buyback authorization and China sales rebound per latest App Store data. Key risks include U.S. antitrust scrutiny on App Store fees and softening enterprise spending, with March CPI release (March 12) and FOMC meeting (March 18-19) pivotal for tech multiples. Historical March closes show AAPL averaging +1.2% gains, but volatility spikes near quarter-end position squaring.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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