Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 55% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) shares closing above $175 by March 31, driven primarily by stabilizing iPhone demand in China and anticipation around Vision Pro sales data amid broader AI enthusiasm. AAPL trades at $172.50 intraday, up 2% week-to-date, supported by $110B buyback authorization and a 4.2% dividend yield, but faces headwinds from U.S. antitrust scrutiny and softening services growth projected at 10-12% YoY. Key catalysts include the March 20 FOMC decision on rates, with markets pricing 85bps cuts in 2024, and March 28 CPI data; a close above $175 requires sustained momentum above the 50-day SMA at $173. Uncertainty lingers on enterprise AI adoption timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$282,631 Объем
$210
98%
$220
98%
$230
89%
$240
78%
$250
47%
$260
25%
$270
6%
$280
13%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
1%
$282,631 Объем
$210
98%
$220
98%
$230
89%
$240
78%
$250
47%
$260
25%
$270
6%
$280
13%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 55% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) shares closing above $175 by March 31, driven primarily by stabilizing iPhone demand in China and anticipation around Vision Pro sales data amid broader AI enthusiasm. AAPL trades at $172.50 intraday, up 2% week-to-date, supported by $110B buyback authorization and a 4.2% dividend yield, but faces headwinds from U.S. antitrust scrutiny and softening services growth projected at 10-12% YoY. Key catalysts include the March 20 FOMC decision on rates, with markets pricing 85bps cuts in 2024, and March 28 CPI data; a close above $175 requires sustained momentum above the 50-day SMA at $173. Uncertainty lingers on enterprise AI adoption timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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