Polymarket traders price a 52% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $170 at March month-end, driven by recent share pressure from softening China iPhone demand, where shipments fell 24% YoY per IDC data. AAPL trades at $169.80 after a 4% monthly decline, weighed by macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the March 28 CPI release that could shift Fed rate cut expectations—lower rates typically boost megacap tech valuations. Countering headwinds, Q1 Services revenue surged 11% YoY to $25B on confirmed filings, bolstering a $110B buyback program. Trader consensus reflects balanced risk, with historical March gains averaging 1.8%, but final-session volatility remains key to resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$329,306 Объем
$210
99%
$220
95%
$230
85%
$240
76%
$250
43%
$260
7%
$270
4%
$280
10%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
$329,306 Объем
$210
99%
$220
95%
$230
85%
$240
76%
$250
43%
$260
7%
$270
4%
$280
10%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 52% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $170 at March month-end, driven by recent share pressure from softening China iPhone demand, where shipments fell 24% YoY per IDC data. AAPL trades at $169.80 after a 4% monthly decline, weighed by macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the March 28 CPI release that could shift Fed rate cut expectations—lower rates typically boost megacap tech valuations. Countering headwinds, Q1 Services revenue surged 11% YoY to $25B on confirmed filings, bolstering a $110B buyback program. Trader consensus reflects balanced risk, with historical March gains averaging 1.8%, but final-session volatility remains key to resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы