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Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90¢
868.3 quotas90¢
94.2¢
$817.50$36.11 (4.62%)

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90¢
868.3 quotas$817.50$36.11 (4.62%)

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
No 57.5¢
718.8 quotas57.5¢
80.5¢
$578.67$165.21 (39.96%)

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
No 57.5¢
718.8 quotas$578.67$165.21 (39.96%)

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 79.9¢
605.7 quotas79.9¢
85¢
$514.88$30.66 (6.33%)

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 79.9¢
605.7 quotas$514.88$30.66 (6.33%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
No 65.6¢
550.0 quotas65.6¢
86.5¢
$475.75$115.04 (31.89%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
No 65.6¢
550.0 quotas$475.75$115.04 (31.89%)

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
No 94¢
400.0 quotas$393.80$17.80 (4.73%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes 5¢
5,000.0 quotas$275.00$25.00 (10%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 83.4¢
250.0 quotas83.4¢
94.5¢
$236.12$27.62 (13.25%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 83.4¢
250.0 quotas$236.12$27.62 (13.25%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
No 56.2¢
300.0 quotas56.2¢
65.5¢
$196.50$28.00 (16.62%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
No 56.2¢
300.0 quotas$196.50$28.00 (16.62%)

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 19.1¢
1,091.9 quotas19.1¢
14¢
$152.86-$56.03 (-26.82%)

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 19.1¢
1,091.9 quotas$152.86-$56.03 (-26.82%)

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
No 44¢
150.0 quotas$72.75$6.75 (10.23%)

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
No 78¢
60.0 quotas$53.97$7.17 (15.32%)


