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luish

Entrou mai 2024·323 visualizações

focus on geopolitics and tech

$3,702.92

Valor das posições

$455.01

Maior Vitória

194

Previsões

Lucro/Prejuízo

-$46.68
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icon for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 83¢
1,851.0 quotas
$1,508.38-$28.49 (-1.85%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

No 73.1¢
413.6 quotas
$347.38$45.18 (14.95%)
icon for Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 98.8¢
300.0 quotas
$299.99$3.60 (1.21%)
icon for Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 62.9¢
200.0 quotas
$152.00$26.11 (20.74%)
icon for Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?

Yes 95.5¢
150.0 quotas
$149.98$6.80 (4.75%)
icon for Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

No 80¢
187.8 quotas
$148.39-$1.88 (-1.25%)
icon for EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

No 68.6¢
166.0 quotas
$143.55$29.69 (26.07%)
icon for Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Yes 40.9¢
268.5 quotas
$110.08$0.15 (0.14%)
icon for Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 85¢
100.0 quotas
$90.55$5.55 (6.53%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

No 36.1¢
109.9 quotas
$77.46$37.80 (95.3%)
icon for Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 67¢
100.0 quotas
$68.50$1.50 (2.24%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

No 73.7¢
100.0 quotas
$66.00-$7.70 (-10.45%)
icon for Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Yes 96.1¢
60.0 quotas
$60.00$2.34 (4.06%)
icon for UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

No 67.1¢
82.3 quotas
$56.37$1.13 (2.04%)
icon for Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Yes 88¢
41.8 quotas
$40.25$3.47 (9.43%)
icon for Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 40¢
71.1 quotas
$39.48$11.02 (38.75%)
icon for Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 96.4¢
40.0 quotas
$39.36$0.80 (2.07%)
icon for Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 62¢
40.5 quotas
$30.15$5.06 (20.16%)
icon for USDS depeg by December 31?

USDS depeg by December 31?

No 76.8¢
24.4 quotas
$20.39$1.63 (8.7%)