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Yair Lapid previsões e probabilidades

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Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?

Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?

14%

Naftali Bennett

$21M Vol.

$512K today

$2M Liq.

396

Ends em 6 meses

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

5%

$12.4K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 dias

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

2%

$5.0K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

59

Ends há 25 dias

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

42%

Likud

$40.1K Vol.

$125K Liq.

2

Ends em 4 meses

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

85%

$1.7K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

49%

Likud

$2 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

2%

$392K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

12

Ends em 5 dias

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

5%

$59.4K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Yes

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

28%

20-24

$17.4K Vol.

$78.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

48%

December 31

$123M Vol.

$112K today

$221K Liq.

34

Ends em 6 meses

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

1%

$4.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 dias

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

52%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$300 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

<1%

$33.1K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 dias

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

22%

$819 Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 4 meses

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

35%

$12.6K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

7

Ends em 6 meses

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

37%

$36.6K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

59%

4

$7M Vol.

$336K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

7%

$59.9K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Yair Lapid.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Yair Lapid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Quem será o próximo primeiro-ministro de Israel após as próximas eleições?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $153.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Yair Lapid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.