SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

10%

$310K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

65%

Stefan Brodie

$155K Vol.

$161K Liq.

10

Ends em 9 meses

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

25%

$0 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

45%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$109K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - PGL Astana: North American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs

100%

Chicken Coop Esports

$0 Vol.

$5 Liq.

Ends há 11 dias

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$41.5K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

6

Ends há 3 meses

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

100%

Computer

$6.8K Vol.

$224K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Counter-Strike: insane players vs CHICANERY (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

Counter-Strike: insane players vs CHICANERY (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

74%

insane players

$13 Vol.

$740 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

71%

Fake do Biru

$11 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

37%

$92.7K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

15

Ends em 9 meses

Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

73%

FarmVille

$36 Vol.

$746 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Counter-Strike: BOSS vs mouse (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

Counter-Strike: BOSS vs mouse (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage

79%

BOSS

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

100%

Fake do Biru

$88.8K Vol.

$88.8K today

$594K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group C

100%

ShindeN

$12.1K Vol.

$65.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 horas

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

69%

↓ $6,300

$32.0K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

BET-M 33

$8.0K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 8 horas

San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayev

San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayev

78%

James Duckworth

$4.3K Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

5%

$102K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

7%

51–60

$32.4K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 dias

Counter-Strike: STATE vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: STATE vs B8 Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

STATE

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 13 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Sam Bankman Fried.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Sam Bankman Fried that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SBF released from custody in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $995K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will Trump pardon before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SBF released from custody in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sam Bankman Fried predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.