Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

9%

$36.2K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

32%

14–16

$1M Vol.

$37.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

52%

1.25–1.29ºC

$232K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑2k

$8M Vol.

$53.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

86%

8+

$2M Vol.

$93.0K Liq.

23

Ends em 3 meses

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

45%

2

$2M Vol.

$141K Liq.

17

Ends em 9 meses

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

11%

$176K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

5%

$532K Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

26

Ends em 9 meses

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

99%

4th or lower

$281K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

44%

1

$678K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

9

Ends em 12 meses

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$38.2K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

9

Ends em 12 meses

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

13%

$117K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$11.8K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

40%

$330K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

$191K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

44%

$277K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

35%

<4m sq km

$28.9K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

19%

$140K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

99%

150+

$185K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

73%

$112K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Clima E CondiçõEs MeteorolóGicas.

Polymarket currently hosts 229 active markets for Clima E CondiçõEs MeteorolóGicas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will a hurricane form by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑1k. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Clima E CondiçõEs MeteorolóGicas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.