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5M previsões e probabilidades

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Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

49%

↓ 1.5M

$159K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

USD x riais iranianos no final de junho?

USD x riais iranianos no final de junho?

32%

<1.5M

$55.4K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

1%

Up

$47.3K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends há 7 minutos

Extensão mínima do gelo marinho do Ártico neste verão?

Extensão mínima do gelo marinho do Ártico neste verão?

58%

<4 milhões de km²

$55.9K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

6

Ends em 4 meses

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

100%

Up

$4.0K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends há 7 minutos

A produção venezuelana de petróleo bruto atingirá __ barris por dia em 2026?

A produção venezuelana de petróleo bruto atingirá __ barris por dia em 2026?

96%

1,1 milhão

$113K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

8

Ends em 9 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

67%

Up

$540 Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends há 2 minutos

Hurupay FDV acima de ___ um dia após o lançamento?

Hurupay FDV acima de ___ um dia após o lançamento?

54%

US$5M

$231K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

12

Ends em 7 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

50%

Up

$327 Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

50%

Up

$198 Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

52%

Up

$129 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 minutos

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

51%

Up

$117 Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends em 13 minutos

Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

1%

Up

$665 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends há 7 minutos

O que a receita do mercado de previsão baseada atingirá antes de 2027?

O que a receita do mercado de previsão baseada atingirá antes de 2027?

44%

$2 milhões

$33.6K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

27

Ends em 7 meses

XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

1%

Up

$495 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends há 7 minutos

A Bitmine anunciará que detém mais de ___ ETH antes de 2027?

A Bitmine anunciará que detém mais de ___ ETH antes de 2027?

36%

7M ETH

$53.9K Vol.

$894 Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

67%

Up

$31 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends há 2 minutos

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

1%

Up

$114 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends há 7 minutos

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

50%

Up

$19 Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 8 horas

BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

1%

Up

$114 Vol.

$858 Liq.

Ends há 7 minutos

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 5M.

Polymarket currently hosts 1938 active markets for 5M that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $756K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Hurupay FDV acima de ___ um dia após o lançamento?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Hurupay FDV acima de ___ um dia após o lançamento?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 55% chance to US$5M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 5M predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.