Trader consensus favors "No" at 68% implied probability for the Powerball jackpot reaching $1 billion by May 31, driven by the current estimated annuity of $149 million ahead of the May 25 drawing—far short of the target despite recent rollovers. The May 22 drawing produced no jackpot winner, boosting the prize modestly through ticket sales, but historical rollover growth averages $20-40 million per draw, requiring improbable unbroken no-wins across the remaining May 25, 29, and possibly June 1 windows (market closes May 31). Massive sales surges seen in past mega-jackpots are absent here, with public buzz muted amid economic pressures, tempering explosive growth potential; watch Saturday's results for any momentum shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO jackpot da Powerball atingirá $ 1 bilhão até 31 de maio?
O jackpot da Powerball atingirá $ 1 bilhão até 31 de maio?
Sim
Sim
This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on May 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 68% implied probability for the Powerball jackpot reaching $1 billion by May 31, driven by the current estimated annuity of $149 million ahead of the May 25 drawing—far short of the target despite recent rollovers. The May 22 drawing produced no jackpot winner, boosting the prize modestly through ticket sales, but historical rollover growth averages $20-40 million per draw, requiring improbable unbroken no-wins across the remaining May 25, 29, and possibly June 1 windows (market closes May 31). Massive sales surges seen in past mega-jackpots are absent here, with public buzz muted amid economic pressures, tempering explosive growth potential; watch Saturday's results for any momentum shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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