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Política·Eleição Dos EUA

Will either candidate concede in November?

Market icon
Política·Eleição Dos EUA

Will either candidate concede in November?

>99% acaso
Polymarket

$135,664 Vol.

>99% acaso
Polymarket

$135,664 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$135,664
Data de Término
30 nov 2024
Mercado Aberto
Nov 1, 2024, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$135,664
Data de Término
30 nov 2024
Mercado Aberto
Nov 1, 2024, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the Republican or Democratic presidential candidate formally concedes the 2024 US presidential election election by November 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Only public statements from the conceding candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will either candidate concede in November?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will either candidate concede in November?" has generated $135.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 1, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will either candidate concede in November?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will either candidate concede in November?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will either candidate concede in November?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.