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Finanças·Recompensas Financeiras 300

O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de março?

Market icon
Finanças·Recompensas Financeiras 300

O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de março?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$629,523 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$629,523 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $8.000

$109,182 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7.500

$32,009 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7.300

$72,607 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7.200

$3,227 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7.100

$15,303 Vol.

1%

↑ $7.000

$17,822 Vol.

1%

↑ $6.900

$14,398 Vol.

5%

↓ $6.400

$51,062 Vol.

47%

↓ $6.300

$85,834 Vol.

24%

↓ $6.200

$31,518 Vol.

13%

↓ US$ 6.000

$41,510 Vol.

3%

↓ US$ 5.000

$155,070 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 recently touched record highs above 5,800, fueled by blowout third-quarter earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's dovish 50 basis point rate cut in September amid cooling inflation (September CPI at 2.4% year-over-year). This has solidified trader consensus around a soft landing, with Treasury yields dipping and risk appetite elevated. However, U.S. presidential election uncertainty on November 5 and escalating Middle East tensions introduce volatility risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the November FOMC meeting, December CPI and dot plot updates, plus Q4 earnings season, which will calibrate 2025 rate cut expectations and index trajectory toward March 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$629,523
Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 recently touched record highs above 5,800, fueled by blowout third-quarter earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's dovish 50 basis point rate cut in September amid cooling inflation (September CPI at 2.4% year-over-year). This has solidified trader consensus around a soft landing, with Treasury yields dipping and risk appetite elevated. However, U.S. presidential election uncertainty on November 5 and escalating Middle East tensions introduce volatility risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the November FOMC meeting, December CPI and dot plot updates, plus Q4 earnings season, which will calibrate 2025 rate cut expectations and index trajectory toward March 31.

The S&P 500 recently touched record highs above 5,800, fueled by blowout third-quarter earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's dovish 50 basis point rate cut in September amid cooling inflation (September CPI at 2.4% year-over-year). This has solidified trader consensus around a soft landing, with Treasury yields dipping and risk appetite elevated. However, U.S. presidential election uncertainty on November 5 and escalating Middle East tensions introduce volatility risks. Key upcoming catalysts include the November FOMC meeting, December CPI and dot plot updates, plus Q4 earnings season, which will calibrate 2025 rate cut expectations and index trajectory toward March 31.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $6.800" at 100%, followed by "↓ $6.600" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de março?" has generated $629.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de março?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de março?" is "↑ $6.800" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $6.600" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.