Market icon

O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?

Market icon

O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?

$172,677 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$172,677 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $15.000

$17,411 Vol.

5%

↑ US$ 12.000

$33,998 Vol.

7%

↑ US$10.000

$15,017 Vol.

12%

↑ $8.000

$9,543 Vol.

11%

↑ $7.000

$22,510 Vol.

23%

↑ US$ 6.000

$74,197 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, posting a near-10% monthly decline—the worst in over a decade—driven primarily by hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data that prompted markets to price in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026, with the first potential easing delayed to December 2027. This hawkish repricing elevated real yields and bolstered the U.S. dollar, increasing gold's opportunity cost despite brief support from Middle East tensions, including President Trump's extension of the Hormuz Strait deadline. Front-month April contracts traded around $4,492 on March 27 amid modest recovery. Traders eye upcoming CPI and PPI releases, April FOMC (94.8% odds of rates held), and persistent central bank buying as pivotal through year-end resolution.

Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, posting a near-10% monthly decline—the worst in over a decade—driven primarily by hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data that prompted markets to price in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026, with the first potential easing delayed to December 2027. This hawkish repricing elevated real yields and bolstered the U.S. dollar, increasing gold's opportunity cost despite brief support from Middle East tensions, including President Trump's extension of the Hormuz Strait deadline. Front-month April contracts traded around $4,492 on March 27 amid modest recovery. Traders eye upcoming CPI and PPI releases, April FOMC (94.8% odds of rates held), and persistent central bank buying as pivotal through year-end resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, posting a near-10% monthly decline—the worst in over a decade—driven primarily by hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data that prompted markets to price in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026, with the first potential easing delayed to December 2027. This hawkish repricing elevated real yields and bolstered the U.S. dollar, increasing gold's opportunity cost despite brief support from Middle East tensions, including President Trump's extension of the Hormuz Strait deadline. Front-month April contracts traded around $4,492 on March 27 amid modest recovery. Traders eye upcoming CPI and PPI releases, April FOMC (94.8% odds of rates held), and persistent central bank buying as pivotal through year-end resolution.

Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, posting a near-10% monthly decline—the worst in over a decade—driven primarily by hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data that prompted markets to price in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2026, with the first potential easing delayed to December 2027. This hawkish repricing elevated real yields and bolstered the U.S. dollar, increasing gold's opportunity cost despite brief support from Middle East tensions, including President Trump's extension of the Hormuz Strait deadline. Front-month April contracts traded around $4,492 on March 27 amid modest recovery. Traders eye upcoming CPI and PPI releases, April FOMC (94.8% odds of rates held), and persistent central bank buying as pivotal through year-end resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ US$ 6.000" at 48%, followed by "↑ $7.000" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?" has generated $172.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?" is "↑ US$ 6.000" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $7.000" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.