Gold (GC) futures have pulled back sharply to around $4,443 per ounce for March 2026 contracts as of late March, down over 15% from February peaks above $5,300, driven by U.S. dollar strength and Federal Reserve signals implying zero rate cuts in 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and robust labor data. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5% have intensified pressure on the zero-yield asset, overshadowing central bank buying and fleeting geopolitical spikes like the recent oil shock reversal. Trader-implied year-end targets average $5,000–$6,000/oz per institutional forecasts, hinging on policy softening. Watch April FOMC projections, upcoming CPI/PCE data, and nonfarm payrolls for shifts in rate path consensus ahead of December resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?
O que o Ouro (GC) atingirá__ até o final de dezembro?
$173,721 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $15.000
5%
↑ US$ 12.000
8%
↑ US$10.000
10%
↑ $8.000
17%
↑ $7.000
21%
↑ US$ 6.000
48%
$173,721 Vol.
↑ $15.000
$17,441 Vol.
5%
↑ US$ 12.000
$34,012 Vol.
8%
↑ US$10.000
$15,194 Vol.
10%
↑ $8.000
$10,129 Vol.
17%
↑ $7.000
$22,510 Vol.
21%
↑ US$ 6.000
$74,434 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have pulled back sharply to around $4,443 per ounce for March 2026 contracts as of late March, down over 15% from February peaks above $5,300, driven by U.S. dollar strength and Federal Reserve signals implying zero rate cuts in 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and robust labor data. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5% have intensified pressure on the zero-yield asset, overshadowing central bank buying and fleeting geopolitical spikes like the recent oil shock reversal. Trader-implied year-end targets average $5,000–$6,000/oz per institutional forecasts, hinging on policy softening. Watch April FOMC projections, upcoming CPI/PCE data, and nonfarm payrolls for shifts in rate path consensus ahead of December resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Volume
$173,721Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) futures have pulled back sharply to around $4,443 per ounce for March 2026 contracts as of late March, down over 15% from February peaks above $5,300, driven by U.S. dollar strength and Federal Reserve signals implying zero rate cuts in 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and robust labor data. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5% have intensified pressure on the zero-yield asset, overshadowing central bank buying and fleeting geopolitical spikes like the recent oil shock reversal. Trader-implied year-end targets average $5,000–$6,000/oz per institutional forecasts, hinging on policy softening. Watch April FOMC projections, upcoming CPI/PCE data, and nonfarm payrolls for shifts in rate path consensus ahead of December resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$173,721Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold (GC) futures have pulled back sharply to around $4,443 per ounce for March 2026 contracts as of late March, down over 15% from February peaks above $5,300, driven by U.S. dollar strength and Federal Reserve signals implying zero rate cuts in 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and robust labor data. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5% have intensified pressure on the zero-yield asset, overshadowing central bank buying and fleeting geopolitical spikes like the recent oil shock reversal. Trader-implied year-end targets average $5,000–$6,000/oz per institutional forecasts, hinging on policy softening. Watch April FOMC projections, upcoming CPI/PCE data, and nonfarm payrolls for shifts in rate path consensus ahead of December resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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