Trader consensus in the UEFA Champions League winner market reflects a tightly contested round of 16 landscape after the January 29 playoff second legs, with Arsenal leading at 26.5% implied probability on their potent league phase attack (17 points, sixth place) highlighted by a 7-0 rout of PSV Eindhoven and favorable seeding versus a playoff qualifier. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5%, driven by Harry Kane's 10 UCL goals and Vincent Kompany's early tactical impact amid Bundesliga dominance. Barcelona's resurgence to 16.5% under Hansi Flick features Robert Lewandowski's scoring form and La Liga lead, while PSG's 12.5% follows their gritty playoff advancement over Stuttgart (4-1 aggregate). Real Madrid's 9.5% lags after a nervy comeback playoff win over Club Brugge (4-4 agg, extra time), underscoring vulnerabilities in their inconsistent league phase (11th, 15 points). The bunched top probabilities capture the knockout format's upset risks, balanced draws, and pending first legs on February 18-19.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoArsenal 27%
Bayern de Munique 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$219,361,959 Vol.
$219,361,959 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Munique
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
10%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern de Munique 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$219,361,959 Vol.
$219,361,959 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Munique
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
10%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the UEFA Champions League winner market reflects a tightly contested round of 16 landscape after the January 29 playoff second legs, with Arsenal leading at 26.5% implied probability on their potent league phase attack (17 points, sixth place) highlighted by a 7-0 rout of PSV Eindhoven and favorable seeding versus a playoff qualifier. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5%, driven by Harry Kane's 10 UCL goals and Vincent Kompany's early tactical impact amid Bundesliga dominance. Barcelona's resurgence to 16.5% under Hansi Flick features Robert Lewandowski's scoring form and La Liga lead, while PSG's 12.5% follows their gritty playoff advancement over Stuttgart (4-1 aggregate). Real Madrid's 9.5% lags after a nervy comeback playoff win over Club Brugge (4-4 agg, extra time), underscoring vulnerabilities in their inconsistent league phase (11th, 15 points). The bunched top probabilities capture the knockout format's upset risks, balanced draws, and pending first legs on February 18-19.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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