Arsenal leads trader consensus at 51% implied probability to reach the UEFA Champions League final, driven by their clinical 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen and a quarter-final matchup against underdog Sporting CP, whom they host in the second leg after Sporting's dramatic comeback against Bodø/Glimt. Bayern München follows at 41% following a 10-2 rout of Atalanta, bolstered by home advantage in the first leg versus Real Madrid, who advanced 5-1 past Manchester City. Barcelona (35%) and PSG (27%) reflect strong aggregates over Newcastle (8-3) and Chelsea (8-2), but face Atlético Madrid and Liverpool respectively in testing ties ahead of semis on 28/29 April and 5/6 May, with first legs this week potentially shifting dynamics via injuries or upsets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$23,214 Vol.

Arsenal
50%

Bayern de Munique
42%

Barcelona
35%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
27%

Real Madrid
21%

Liverpool
15%

Atlético de Madrid
12%

Sporting CP
4%
$23,214 Vol.

Arsenal
50%

Bayern de Munique
42%

Barcelona
35%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
27%

Real Madrid
21%

Liverpool
15%

Atlético de Madrid
12%

Sporting CP
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 51% implied probability to reach the UEFA Champions League final, driven by their clinical 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen and a quarter-final matchup against underdog Sporting CP, whom they host in the second leg after Sporting's dramatic comeback against Bodø/Glimt. Bayern München follows at 41% following a 10-2 rout of Atalanta, bolstered by home advantage in the first leg versus Real Madrid, who advanced 5-1 past Manchester City. Barcelona (35%) and PSG (27%) reflect strong aggregates over Newcastle (8-3) and Chelsea (8-2), but face Atlético Madrid and Liverpool respectively in testing ties ahead of semis on 28/29 April and 5/6 May, with first legs this week potentially shifting dynamics via injuries or upsets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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