Trader consensus prices top contenders Konrad Laimer, Álvaro Fernández Carreras, Declan Rice, and Martín Zubimendi within 1% at 46-47% implied probabilities, mirroring their tied four yellow cards each after the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 league phase concluded last month. This mid-season parity stems from consistent foul-heavy performances by these combative midfielders and full-backs—Laimer (Bayern München), Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid), Rice and Zubimendi (Arsenal)—in high-stakes fixtures, with no one accumulating a decisive lead. Quarter-final first legs on April 7/8, including Real Madrid vs. Bayern München and Arsenal vs. Sporting CP, amplify card risks amid intense knockout duels, referee scrutiny, and suspension threats, keeping Mikel Merino (40%) and Kim Min-Jae (38%) viable while Lamine Yamal lags at 21%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoKonrad Laimer 48%
Declan Rice 47%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 47%
Martín Zubimendi 46%
Konrad Laimer
48%
Declan Rice
47%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
47%
Martín Zubimendi
46%
Mikel Merino
40%
Kim Min-Jae
38%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Konrad Laimer 48%
Declan Rice 47%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 47%
Martín Zubimendi 46%
Konrad Laimer
48%
Declan Rice
47%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
47%
Martín Zubimendi
46%
Mikel Merino
40%
Kim Min-Jae
38%
Lamine Yamal
21%
For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 23, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices top contenders Konrad Laimer, Álvaro Fernández Carreras, Declan Rice, and Martín Zubimendi within 1% at 46-47% implied probabilities, mirroring their tied four yellow cards each after the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 league phase concluded last month. This mid-season parity stems from consistent foul-heavy performances by these combative midfielders and full-backs—Laimer (Bayern München), Fernández Carreras (Real Madrid), Rice and Zubimendi (Arsenal)—in high-stakes fixtures, with no one accumulating a decisive lead. Quarter-final first legs on April 7/8, including Real Madrid vs. Bayern München and Arsenal vs. Sporting CP, amplify card risks amid intense knockout duels, referee scrutiny, and suspension threats, keeping Mikel Merino (40%) and Kim Min-Jae (38%) viable while Lamine Yamal lags at 21%.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions