Recent share price action near $422 has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$420 close for the week of May 18, with that outcome holding a 50.5% implied probability. Tesla shares pulled back 4.75% on May 15 amid ongoing volatility, following a brief rally above $445 earlier in the month, as investors weighed softening EV demand against longer-term bets on robotaxi deployment and Optimus progress. With Q2 results not due until July 22 and no immediate catalysts, markets price in consolidation risks near current levels rather than a swift rebound above $450. This setup reflects the stock’s elevated valuation and sensitivity to macroeconomic sentiment, leaving the narrowest probabilities clustered in the $445–$465 range at roughly 11% each.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<$420 51%
>$465 21%
$445-$450 12%
$450-$455 12%
NOVO
NOVO
22 mai 2026
<$420
51%
$420-$425
8%
$425-$430
8%
$430-$435
8%
$435-$440
8%
$440-$445
7%
$445-$450
12%
$450-$455
12%
$455-$460
11%
$460-$465
12%
>$465
21%
<$420 51%
>$465 21%
$445-$450 12%
$450-$455 12%
NOVO
NOVO
22 mai 2026
<$420
$0 Vol.
51%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
8%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
8%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
8%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
8%
$440-$445
$0 Vol.
7%
$445-$450
$0 Vol.
12%
$450-$455
$0 Vol.
12%
$455-$460
$0 Vol.
11%
$460-$465
$0 Vol.
12%
>$465
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent share price action near $422 has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$420 close for the week of May 18, with that outcome holding a 50.5% implied probability. Tesla shares pulled back 4.75% on May 15 amid ongoing volatility, following a brief rally above $445 earlier in the month, as investors weighed softening EV demand against longer-term bets on robotaxi deployment and Optimus progress. With Q2 results not due until July 22 and no immediate catalysts, markets price in consolidation risks near current levels rather than a swift rebound above $450. This setup reflects the stock’s elevated valuation and sensitivity to macroeconomic sentiment, leaving the narrowest probabilities clustered in the $445–$465 range at roughly 11% each.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent share price action near $422 has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$420 close for the week of May 18, with that outcome holding a 50.5% implied probability. Tesla shares pulled back 4.75% on May 15 amid ongoing volatility, following a brief rally above $445 earlier in the month, as investors weighed softening EV demand against longer-term bets on robotaxi deployment and Optimus progress. With Q2 results not due until July 22 and no immediate catalysts, markets price in consolidation risks near current levels rather than a swift rebound above $450. This setup reflects the stock’s elevated valuation and sensitivity to macroeconomic sentiment, leaving the narrowest probabilities clustered in the $445–$465 range at roughly 11% each.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Data de Término
22 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent share price action near $422 has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$420 close for the week of May 18, with that outcome holding a 50.5% implied probability. Tesla shares pulled back 4.75% on May 15 amid ongoing volatility, following a brief rally above $445 earlier in the month, as investors weighed softening EV demand against longer-term bets on robotaxi deployment and Optimus progress. With Q2 results not due until July 22 and no immediate catalysts, markets price in consolidation risks near current levels rather than a swift rebound above $450. This setup reflects the stock’s elevated valuation and sensitivity to macroeconomic sentiment, leaving the narrowest probabilities clustered in the $445–$465 range at roughly 11% each.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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