Tesla (TSLA) traders on Polymarket show tightly clustered implied probabilities around the $375-$390 range, with $380-$385 (17%) edging out $375-$380 (16.5%) amid heightened uncertainty over near-term catalysts. Share price has rallied 15% in the past week on robust Q1 delivery beats exceeding analyst estimates at 457,000 vehicles, bolstering revenue growth projections, yet margin compression from aggressive pricing in China against BYD competition tempers enthusiasm. Elon Musk's push for Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory approvals and energy storage segment outperformance provide upside tailwinds, while elevated valuation at 90x forward earnings draws profit-taking risks. Key differentiators include upcoming Robotaxi Day details on April 15 and Federal Reserve rate path implications for auto financing; watch trading volume spikes for breakout signals above $390 or retests of $370 support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$385-$390 14.5%
$375-$380 14%
$390-$395 13.0%
$380-$385 12%
<$360
4%
$360-$365
3%
$365-$370
5%
$370-$375
10%
$375-$380
14%
$380-$385
19%
$385-$390
15%
$390-$395
13%
$395-$400
14%
$400-$405
5%
>$405
5%
$385-$390 14.5%
$375-$380 14%
$390-$395 13.0%
$380-$385 12%
<$360
4%
$360-$365
3%
$365-$370
5%
$370-$375
10%
$375-$380
14%
$380-$385
19%
$385-$390
15%
$390-$395
13%
$395-$400
14%
$400-$405
5%
>$405
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla (TSLA) traders on Polymarket show tightly clustered implied probabilities around the $375-$390 range, with $380-$385 (17%) edging out $375-$380 (16.5%) amid heightened uncertainty over near-term catalysts. Share price has rallied 15% in the past week on robust Q1 delivery beats exceeding analyst estimates at 457,000 vehicles, bolstering revenue growth projections, yet margin compression from aggressive pricing in China against BYD competition tempers enthusiasm. Elon Musk's push for Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory approvals and energy storage segment outperformance provide upside tailwinds, while elevated valuation at 90x forward earnings draws profit-taking risks. Key differentiators include upcoming Robotaxi Day details on April 15 and Federal Reserve rate path implications for auto financing; watch trading volume spikes for breakout signals above $390 or retests of $370 support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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