Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend (81% implied probability), driven by a soft Thursday preview haul of just $1 million and a modest $2.3 million Friday from 2,778 locations, well below initial tracking estimates of $6–10 million. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from holdover sci-fi hit "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $45 million second frame, limiting screen availability and audience draw. Despite mostly positive early Rotten Tomatoes reviews and viral trailer buzz since January, lackluster presales and muted word-of-mouth have eroded momentum, with traders betting on flat Saturday/Sunday legs amid a crowded spring box office slate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 81%
5-6m 15%
6-7m 1.3%
7-8m <1%
$123,157 Vol.
$123,157 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
81%
5-6m
15%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 81%
5-6m 15%
6-7m 1.3%
7-8m <1%
$123,157 Vol.
$123,157 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$36,023 Vol.
81%
5-6m
$15,708 Vol.
15%
6-7m
$18,017 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$13,308 Vol.
1%
>8m
$40,100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend (81% implied probability), driven by a soft Thursday preview haul of just $1 million and a modest $2.3 million Friday from 2,778 locations, well below initial tracking estimates of $6–10 million. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from holdover sci-fi hit "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $45 million second frame, limiting screen availability and audience draw. Despite mostly positive early Rotten Tomatoes reviews and viral trailer buzz since January, lackluster presales and muted word-of-mouth have eroded momentum, with traders betting on flat Saturday/Sunday legs amid a crowded spring box office slate.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$123,157Data de Término
Mar 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend (81% implied probability), driven by a soft Thursday preview haul of just $1 million and a modest $2.3 million Friday from 2,778 locations, well below initial tracking estimates of $6–10 million. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from holdover sci-fi hit "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $45 million second frame, limiting screen availability and audience draw. Despite mostly positive early Rotten Tomatoes reviews and viral trailer buzz since January, lackluster presales and muted word-of-mouth have eroded momentum, with traders betting on flat Saturday/Sunday legs amid a crowded spring box office slate.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$123,157Data de Término
Mar 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend (81% implied probability), driven by a soft Thursday preview haul of just $1 million and a modest $2.3 million Friday from 2,778 locations, well below initial tracking estimates of $6–10 million. The Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy faces stiff competition from holdover sci-fi hit "Project Hail Mary," eyeing a $45 million second frame, limiting screen availability and audience draw. Despite mostly positive early Rotten Tomatoes reviews and viral trailer buzz since January, lackluster presales and muted word-of-mouth have eroded momentum, with traders betting on flat Saturday/Sunday legs amid a crowded spring box office slate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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