Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 in the $4.00-$6.00 range (94% combined implied probability), reflecting optimism from the company's Q4 2023 earnings beat announced February 20, where revenue of $1.15 billion exceeded estimates despite ongoing housing market headwinds, and positive guidance signaling improved contribution margins. Recent stock momentum, up over 50% in the past month amid stabilizing mortgage rates near 6.8% (per Freddie Mac), has driven shares from sub-$2 lows toward $4.20 intraday levels, positioning $4-$5 (53%) as the leading bin. Key risks include persistent high interest rates pressuring iBuying volumes, with next catalyst being March housing starts data on March 19; resolution hinges on Friday's close above key $4.50 support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$4,00-$5,00 53%
$5,00-$6,00 41%
$3,00-$4,00 11%
$6,00-$7,00 10%
<US$1,00
<1%
$1,00-$2,00
1%
$2,00-$3,00
2%
$3,00-$4,00
11%
$4,00-$5,00
53%
$5,00-$6,00
41%
$6,00-$7,00
10%
$7,00-$8,00
1%
$8,00-$9,00
1%
$9,00-$10
1%
>US$10
1%
$4,00-$5,00 53%
$5,00-$6,00 41%
$3,00-$4,00 11%
$6,00-$7,00 10%
<US$1,00
<1%
$1,00-$2,00
1%
$2,00-$3,00
2%
$3,00-$4,00
11%
$4,00-$5,00
53%
$5,00-$6,00
41%
$6,00-$7,00
10%
$7,00-$8,00
1%
$8,00-$9,00
1%
$9,00-$10
1%
>US$10
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 in the $4.00-$6.00 range (94% combined implied probability), reflecting optimism from the company's Q4 2023 earnings beat announced February 20, where revenue of $1.15 billion exceeded estimates despite ongoing housing market headwinds, and positive guidance signaling improved contribution margins. Recent stock momentum, up over 50% in the past month amid stabilizing mortgage rates near 6.8% (per Freddie Mac), has driven shares from sub-$2 lows toward $4.20 intraday levels, positioning $4-$5 (53%) as the leading bin. Key risks include persistent high interest rates pressuring iBuying volumes, with next catalyst being March housing starts data on March 19; resolution hinges on Friday's close above key $4.50 support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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