Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for 2.6 million to 2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, 2026, anchored by the official Transportation Security Administration release of 2,710,611 travelers screened—firmly within that range. This figure marks a sharp rebound from April 1's 2.36 million and March 31's 2.15 million, fueled by spring break travel demand amid recovering TSA staffing post-pay disputes that had caused extended wait times. Historical daily volumes during peak periods often cluster in this range, with no recent economic data suggesting otherwise. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require an unprecedented data revision or audit discrepancy, though TSA statistics are typically final upon publication.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$4,668 Vol.
$4,668 Vol.
<2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
>3.2M
No
2.6M-2.8M 100.0%
<2.4M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$4,668 Vol.
$4,668 Vol.
<2.4M
No
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
Yes
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
>3.2M
No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for 2.6 million to 2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, 2026, anchored by the official Transportation Security Administration release of 2,710,611 travelers screened—firmly within that range. This figure marks a sharp rebound from April 1's 2.36 million and March 31's 2.15 million, fueled by spring break travel demand amid recovering TSA staffing post-pay disputes that had caused extended wait times. Historical daily volumes during peak periods often cluster in this range, with no recent economic data suggesting otherwise. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require an unprecedented data revision or audit discrepancy, though TSA statistics are typically final upon publication.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions