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Number of TSA Passengers April 2?

Market icon

Number of TSA Passengers April 2?

2.6M-2.8M 100.0%

<2.4M <1%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$4,668 Vol.

2.6M-2.8M 100.0%

<2.4M <1%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$4,668 Vol.

<2.4M

$278 Vol.

No

2.4M-2.6M

$1,354 Vol.

No

2.6M-2.8M

$476 Vol.

Yes

2.8M-3.0M

$1,201 Vol.

No

3.0M-3.2M

$806 Vol.

No

>3.2M

$553 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for 2.6 million to 2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, 2026, anchored by the official Transportation Security Administration release of 2,710,611 travelers screened—firmly within that range. This figure marks a sharp rebound from April 1's 2.36 million and March 31's 2.15 million, fueled by spring break travel demand amid recovering TSA staffing post-pay disputes that had caused extended wait times. Historical daily volumes during peak periods often cluster in this range, with no recent economic data suggesting otherwise. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require an unprecedented data revision or audit discrepancy, though TSA statistics are typically final upon publication.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$4,668
Data de Término
2 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for 2.6 million to 2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, 2026, anchored by the official Transportation Security Administration release of 2,710,611 travelers screened—firmly within that range. This figure marks a sharp rebound from April 1's 2.36 million and March 31's 2.15 million, fueled by spring break travel demand amid recovering TSA staffing post-pay disputes that had caused extended wait times. Historical daily volumes during peak periods often cluster in this range, with no recent economic data suggesting otherwise. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require an unprecedented data revision or audit discrepancy, though TSA statistics are typically final upon publication.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$4,668
Data de Término
2 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA Passengers April 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2.6M-2.8M" at 100%, followed by "<2.4M" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of TSA Passengers April 2?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of TSA Passengers April 2?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA Passengers April 2?" is "2.6M-2.8M" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<2.4M" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA Passengers April 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.