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MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Market icon

MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Derek Shelton 44%

Craig Albernaz 43%

Matt Quatraro 43%

Aaron Boone 43%

Polymarket

$28,267 Vol.

Derek Shelton 44%

Craig Albernaz 43%

Matt Quatraro 43%

Aaron Boone 43%

Polymarket

$28,267 Vol.

Derek Shelton

$0 Vol.

44%

Craig Albernaz

$2,640 Vol.

43%

Matt Quatraro

$0 Vol.

43%

Aaron Boone

$0 Vol.

43%

Kevin Cash

$5,904 Vol.

43%

Kurt Suzuki

$0 Vol.

43%

Stephen Vogt

$0 Vol.

43%

Joe Espada

$0 Vol.

43%

Skip Schumaker

$0 Vol.

43%

A.J. Hinch

$0 Vol.

42%

Mark Kotsay

$0 Vol.

42%

Will Venable

$0 Vol.

42%

Alex Cora

$13,998 Vol.

42%

John Schneider

$0 Vol.

41%

Dan Wilson

$5,724 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 MLB season just one week old and AL records tightly packed after 6-7 games, trader consensus reflects a wide-open Manager of the Year race, bunching implied probabilities at 42-43.5% across Derek Shelton, Aaron Boone, and several first-year skippers amid early volatility. Boone's Yankees lead AL East at 5-1 behind stout starting pitching and home-field edges, while Joe Espada's Astros top West at 5-2 leveraging rotation depth; John Schneider's Blue Jays sit 4-2 on offensive surge. New hires like Shelton (Twins, 1-4 but rebound potential post-offseason moves), Craig Albernaz (Orioles, 3-3), Stephen Vogt (Guardians, 4-3), and Kurt Suzuki (Angels, 3-4) draw support for overachievement upside with talented rosters, per BBWAA voting precedents favoring turnarounds over raw wins.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,267
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 MLB season just one week old and AL records tightly packed after 6-7 games, trader consensus reflects a wide-open Manager of the Year race, bunching implied probabilities at 42-43.5% across Derek Shelton, Aaron Boone, and several first-year skippers amid early volatility. Boone's Yankees lead AL East at 5-1 behind stout starting pitching and home-field edges, while Joe Espada's Astros top West at 5-2 leveraging rotation depth; John Schneider's Blue Jays sit 4-2 on offensive surge. New hires like Shelton (Twins, 1-4 but rebound potential post-offseason moves), Craig Albernaz (Orioles, 3-3), Stephen Vogt (Guardians, 4-3), and Kurt Suzuki (Angels, 3-4) draw support for overachievement upside with talented rosters, per BBWAA voting precedents favoring turnarounds over raw wins.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,267
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Derek Shelton" at 44%, followed by "Craig Albernaz" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" has generated $28.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" is "Derek Shelton" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Craig Albernaz" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.