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Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026

Market icon
Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026

Seattle Mariners 18%

New York Yankees 17%

Toronto Blue Jays 16%

Boston Red Sox 10%

Polymarket

$3,278,095 Vol.

Seattle Mariners 18%

New York Yankees 17%

Toronto Blue Jays 16%

Boston Red Sox 10%

Polymarket

$3,278,095 Vol.

Seattle Mariners

$13,200 Vol.

18%

New York Yankees

$21,978 Vol.

17%

Toronto Blue Jays

$112,636 Vol.

16%

Boston Red Sox

$12,992 Vol.

10%

Detroit Tigers

$83,358 Vol.

10%

Baltimore Orioles

$39,135 Vol.

7%

Texas Rangers

$6,764 Vol.

7%

Houston Astros

$752,915 Vol.

6%

Kansas City Royals

$487,610 Vol.

5%

Cleveland Guardians

$685,831 Vol.

4%

Athletics

$124,624 Vol.

2%

Tampa Bay Rays

$334,975 Vol.

1%

Minnesota Twins

$232,997 Vol.

1%

Los Angeles Angels

$289,617 Vol.

1%

Chicago White Sox

$79,462 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Seattle Mariners hold a slim edge in trader consensus at 17.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL pennant, fueled by their elite rotation anchored by Logan Gilbert and Luis Castillo, which powered MLB.com experts' picks for Seattle to claim the American League crown after consistent West division contention. New York Yankees trail closely at 16.5% on Aaron Judge's MVP-caliber production and Gerrit Cole's ace presence, while defending AL champion Toronto Blue Jays sit at 16% bolstered by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s power but tempered by right-hander Cody Ponce's recent knee sprain sidelining him significantly. Opening weekend results—Mariners 3-3, Yankees and Jays showing early fight—underscore AL parity across divisions, with Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers at 10% each riding young rosters and favorable schedules in a wide-open wild card chase.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,278,095
Data de Término
1 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Seattle Mariners hold a slim edge in trader consensus at 17.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL pennant, fueled by their elite rotation anchored by Logan Gilbert and Luis Castillo, which powered MLB.com experts' picks for Seattle to claim the American League crown after consistent West division contention. New York Yankees trail closely at 16.5% on Aaron Judge's MVP-caliber production and Gerrit Cole's ace presence, while defending AL champion Toronto Blue Jays sit at 16% bolstered by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s power but tempered by right-hander Cody Ponce's recent knee sprain sidelining him significantly. Opening weekend results—Mariners 3-3, Yankees and Jays showing early fight—underscore AL parity across divisions, with Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers at 10% each riding young rosters and favorable schedules in a wide-open wild card chase.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,278,095
Data de Término
1 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Seattle Mariners" at 18%, followed by "New York Yankees" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026" is "Seattle Mariners" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New York Yankees" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.