Trader consensus prices the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners as co-favorites at 16.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL pennant, reflecting a tightly contested American League with elite contenders across all divisions and abundant wild card paths. Recent ZiPS, Steamer, and PECOTA projections released in late February and March project Seattle atop AL West win totals near 94 games thanks to MLB.com and ESPN staff consensus on their rotation dominance, while Detroit Tigers lead a wide-open AL Central with Tarik Skubal anchoring as two-time Cy Young winner. AL East parity drives the bunching, as expert picks split between Yankees (16 ESPN votes), Toronto Blue Jays, and Boston Red Sox amid offseason additions like Japanese infielders for Jays and stabilized rotations for Sox, with no team exceeding 89 projected wins per FanGraphs depth charts. Spring training health and prospect surges for Mariners further even the field entering Opening Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026
MLB: Campeão da Liga Americana de 2026
New York Yankees 17%
Seattle Mariners 16%
Toronto Blue Jays 12%
Boston Red Sox 12%
$3,248,760 Vol.
$3,248,760 Vol.
New York Yankees
17%
Seattle Mariners
16%
Toronto Blue Jays
12%
Boston Red Sox
12%
Detroit Tigers
10%
Baltimore Orioles
8%
Texas Rangers
7%
Houston Astros
6%
Cleveland Guardians
4%
Kansas City Royals
4%
Athletics
2%
Tampa Bay Rays
1%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Chicago White Sox
1%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
New York Yankees 17%
Seattle Mariners 16%
Toronto Blue Jays 12%
Boston Red Sox 12%
$3,248,760 Vol.
$3,248,760 Vol.
New York Yankees
17%
Seattle Mariners
16%
Toronto Blue Jays
12%
Boston Red Sox
12%
Detroit Tigers
10%
Baltimore Orioles
8%
Texas Rangers
7%
Houston Astros
6%
Cleveland Guardians
4%
Kansas City Royals
4%
Athletics
2%
Tampa Bay Rays
1%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Chicago White Sox
1%
Los Angeles Angels
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners as co-favorites at 16.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL pennant, reflecting a tightly contested American League with elite contenders across all divisions and abundant wild card paths. Recent ZiPS, Steamer, and PECOTA projections released in late February and March project Seattle atop AL West win totals near 94 games thanks to MLB.com and ESPN staff consensus on their rotation dominance, while Detroit Tigers lead a wide-open AL Central with Tarik Skubal anchoring as two-time Cy Young winner. AL East parity drives the bunching, as expert picks split between Yankees (16 ESPN votes), Toronto Blue Jays, and Boston Red Sox amid offseason additions like Japanese infielders for Jays and stabilized rotations for Sox, with no team exceeding 89 projected wins per FanGraphs depth charts. Spring training health and prospect surges for Mariners further even the field entering Opening Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions