Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts and aviation observations for Seoul on April 3 position a 16°C high as the trader-favored outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 17°C close at 29.5%, amid mostly cloudy skies, morning haze, and light southwest winds limiting solar insolation after dawn spring rains. Gimpo Airport projects up to 20°C with afternoon clearing, but Incheon caps at 16°C, reflecting microclimatic variability and model consensus (ECMWF, GFS ensembles) converging on mid-teens peaks following March's above-average warmth (highs to 19°C). Transitional spring frontal patterns add uncertainty; real-time hourly station data through evening will determine the peak against early April climatological norms of 17°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 3?
17°C 37%
16°C 31%
18°C 28%
19°C or higher 10%
$253,941 Vol.
$253,941 Vol.
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
31%
17°C
37%
18°C
28%
19°C or higher
10%
17°C 37%
16°C 31%
18°C 28%
19°C or higher 10%
$253,941 Vol.
$253,941 Vol.
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
31%
17°C
37%
18°C
28%
19°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts and aviation observations for Seoul on April 3 position a 16°C high as the trader-favored outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 17°C close at 29.5%, amid mostly cloudy skies, morning haze, and light southwest winds limiting solar insolation after dawn spring rains. Gimpo Airport projects up to 20°C with afternoon clearing, but Incheon caps at 16°C, reflecting microclimatic variability and model consensus (ECMWF, GFS ensembles) converging on mid-teens peaks following March's above-average warmth (highs to 19°C). Transitional spring frontal patterns add uncertainty; real-time hourly station data through evening will determine the peak against early April climatological norms of 17°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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