Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for GBP/USD "Down" on March 18, driven primarily by persistent USD strength ahead of the March 20 FOMC meeting, where markets price low odds of a rate cut amid sticky US inflation (CPI at 3.2% YoY). GBP faced headwinds from the UK's stubborn services inflation (5.9% in February data), offsetting headline CPI relief to 3.4%, alongside elevated public sector borrowing that curbed BOE easing bets. Solid US existing home sales (+4.3% MoM beat) further bolstered the dollar. Tail risks include surprise BOE dovishness or a pre-FOMC risk-on surge, though near-zero volume suggests resolution certainty as London-NY closes confirm the downside move below March 15's 1.2726 level.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPara cima
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
Para cima
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
Mar 18, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chartResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Para baixo
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Para baixo
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price ("C") for the GBP/USD candle for the final daily candle on the date specified (ET) in the title is higher than the close price for the final daily candle on the prior trading day once information is finalized for both specified dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of the week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market's resolution will be based solely on information from the "C" figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Volume
$0Data de Término
Mar 18, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chartResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Para baixo
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Para baixo
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for GBP/USD "Down" on March 18, driven primarily by persistent USD strength ahead of the March 20 FOMC meeting, where markets price low odds of a rate cut amid sticky US inflation (CPI at 3.2% YoY). GBP faced headwinds from the UK's stubborn services inflation (5.9% in February data), offsetting headline CPI relief to 3.4%, alongside elevated public sector borrowing that curbed BOE easing bets. Solid US existing home sales (+4.3% MoM beat) further bolstered the dollar. Tail risks include surprise BOE dovishness or a pre-FOMC risk-on surge, though near-zero volume suggests resolution certainty as London-NY closes confirm the downside move below March 15's 1.2726 level.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions