Trader consensus prices Belgium at 70% implied probability to win Group G, reflecting their superior squad depth with Kevin De Bruyne's creative control, Jeremy Doku's pace on counters, and Romelu Lukaku's focal point despite a defensive transition and recent March friendly absences for Lukaku and Leandro Trossard. Egypt's 20% share stems from Mohamed Salah and Omar Marmoush's clinical threat in an unbeaten CAF qualifying campaign, positioning them for second via the June 15 opener against Belgium and favorable fixtures. Iran's low 3.5% odds persist amid geopolitical tensions and withdrawal threats, despite FIFA President Gianni Infantino's fresh confirmation (within last 24 hours) that they will play U.S.-hosted matches; Sardar Azmoun's injury adds concern. New Zealand trails at 2.6% as OFC minnows reliant on Chris Wood amid a quality gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBelgium 70%
Egypt 21%
Iran 3.7%
New Zealand 2.6%
$24,967 Vol.
$24,967 Vol.
Belgium
70%
Egypt
21%
Iran
4%
New Zealand
3%
Belgium 70%
Egypt 21%
Iran 3.7%
New Zealand 2.6%
$24,967 Vol.
$24,967 Vol.
Belgium
70%
Egypt
21%
Iran
4%
New Zealand
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Belgium at 70% implied probability to win Group G, reflecting their superior squad depth with Kevin De Bruyne's creative control, Jeremy Doku's pace on counters, and Romelu Lukaku's focal point despite a defensive transition and recent March friendly absences for Lukaku and Leandro Trossard. Egypt's 20% share stems from Mohamed Salah and Omar Marmoush's clinical threat in an unbeaten CAF qualifying campaign, positioning them for second via the June 15 opener against Belgium and favorable fixtures. Iran's low 3.5% odds persist amid geopolitical tensions and withdrawal threats, despite FIFA President Gianni Infantino's fresh confirmation (within last 24 hours) that they will play U.S.-hosted matches; Sardar Azmoun's injury adds concern. New Zealand trails at 2.6% as OFC minnows reliant on Chris Wood amid a quality gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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