Market icon

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Market icon

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$44,071 Vol.

2.6% 100.0%

≤2.4% <1%

2.5% <1%

2.7% <1%

Polymarket

$44,071 Vol.

≤2.4%

$14,417 Vol.

No

2.5%

$1,087 Vol.

No

2.6%

$2,758 Vol.

Yes

2.7%

$1,777 Vol.

No

2.8%

$2,152 Vol.

No

2.9%

$19,746 Vol.

No

≥3.0%

$2,134 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have assigned a 100% implied probability to Japan's February unemployment rate resolving at 2.6%, reflecting the official Statistics Bureau release on March 30 confirming this seasonally adjusted figure—easing from January's 1.5-year high of 2.7% and undershooting consensus economist forecasts of 2.7%. This first decline in seven months underscores persistent labor market tightness, with jobless levels remaining among the G7's lowest amid steady payrolls and robust demand. Supporting the strong positioning are stable household consumption and wage growth signals tracked by the Bank of Japan, which held policy rates at 0.75% last week. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions, as the preliminary print typically finalizes without adjustment. Traders now eye April's March report for BOJ policy cues.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html.

The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$44,071
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have assigned a 100% implied probability to Japan's February unemployment rate resolving at 2.6%, reflecting the official Statistics Bureau release on March 30 confirming this seasonally adjusted figure—easing from January's 1.5-year high of 2.7% and undershooting consensus economist forecasts of 2.7%. This first decline in seven months underscores persistent labor market tightness, with jobless levels remaining among the G7's lowest amid steady payrolls and robust demand. Supporting the strong positioning are stable household consumption and wage growth signals tracked by the Bank of Japan, which held policy rates at 0.75% last week. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions, as the preliminary print typically finalizes without adjustment. Traders now eye April's March report for BOJ policy cues.

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026.

The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html.

The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$44,071
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"February Unemployment Rate - Japan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2.6%" at 100%, followed by "≤2.4%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "February Unemployment Rate - Japan" has generated $44.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "February Unemployment Rate - Japan," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "February Unemployment Rate - Japan" is "2.6%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≤2.4%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "February Unemployment Rate - Japan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.