Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after Kimi Antonelli's victory at the Japanese Grand Prix on March 29, extending their dominance from one-two finishes in Australia and China. Superior power unit performance, particularly in energy management under new regulations, has given the Mercedes duo of Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63) a clear edge over rivals, propelling trader consensus to 77.5% implied probability. Ferrari trails at 90 points with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc but lacks the pace to close the gap, earning 12.5%; McLaren's 46 points reflect potential despite reliability issues (5.4%), while Red Bull's midfield struggles (1.6%) highlight their adaptation woes to the 2026 chassis and engine era.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMercedes 78%
Ferrari 13%
McLaren 5.6%
Red Bull Racing 1.6%
$8,031,045 Vol.
$8,031,045 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
6%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 13%
McLaren 5.6%
Red Bull Racing 1.6%
$8,031,045 Vol.
$8,031,045 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
13%

McLaren
6%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after Kimi Antonelli's victory at the Japanese Grand Prix on March 29, extending their dominance from one-two finishes in Australia and China. Superior power unit performance, particularly in energy management under new regulations, has given the Mercedes duo of Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63) a clear edge over rivals, propelling trader consensus to 77.5% implied probability. Ferrari trails at 90 points with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc but lacks the pace to close the gap, earning 12.5%; McLaren's 46 points reflect potential despite reliability issues (5.4%), while Red Bull's midfield struggles (1.6%) highlight their adaptation woes to the 2026 chassis and engine era.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions