Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the first four Grands Prix, powering trader consensus at 78% implied probability through dominant 1-2 finishes led by Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63), who capitalized on the new active aerodynamics and power unit regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points (10.5% odds) with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc, while McLaren sits third at 46 points (7.2%) despite strong qualifying but race pace deficits. Red Bull languishes on 26 points (1.5%) amid reliability woes and underperformance from Max Verstappen, relegating others like Haas and newcomers Audi, Cadillac to minimal threats early in the 24-race calendar.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.1%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$9,890,495 Vol.
$9,890,495 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 78%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.1%
Red Bull Racing 1.5%
$9,890,495 Vol.
$9,890,495 Vol.

Mercedes
78%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
7%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Williams
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after the first four Grands Prix, powering trader consensus at 78% implied probability through dominant 1-2 finishes led by Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63), who capitalized on the new active aerodynamics and power unit regulations. Ferrari trails at 90 points (10.5% odds) with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc, while McLaren sits third at 46 points (7.2%) despite strong qualifying but race pace deficits. Red Bull languishes on 26 points (1.5%) amid reliability woes and underperformance from Max Verstappen, relegating others like Haas and newcomers Audi, Cadillac to minimal threats early in the 24-race calendar.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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