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Economia·Boe

Aumento da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?

Market icon
Economia·Boe

Aumento da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?

Sim

67% acaso
Polymarket

$15,257 Vol.

Sim

67% acaso
Polymarket

$15,257 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, driven primarily by surging global energy prices from the ongoing Middle East conflict—particularly the Iran war—which has reversed earlier disinflation trends and elevated CPI inflation risks above the 2% target. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%, but the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously maintained Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid hawkish warnings of persistent pressures, with UK gilt yields hitting 18-year highs on inflation fears. Rising unemployment to 5.2% tempers aggressive tightening bets, yet J.P. Morgan forecasts a potential June hike. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI data on April 22 and the April 30 MPC meeting, which could shift the rate path outlook.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,257
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66.5% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026, driven primarily by surging global energy prices from the ongoing Middle East conflict—particularly the Iran war—which has reversed earlier disinflation trends and elevated CPI inflation risks above the 2% target. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%, but the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously maintained Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid hawkish warnings of persistent pressures, with UK gilt yields hitting 18-year highs on inflation fears. Rising unemployment to 5.2% tempers aggressive tightening bets, yet J.P. Morgan forecasts a potential June hike. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI data on April 22 and the April 30 MPC meeting, which could shift the rate path outlook.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,257
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Aumento da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alta da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Aumento da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Aumento da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aumento da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?" is "Alta da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aumento da taxa do Banco da Inglaterra em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.