Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), world No. 1 ranking, and elite strokes-gained tee-to-green dominance matching Augusta National's demands for precise irons and par-5 scoring. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) have surged on recent LIV Golf form, with DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last week highlighting their major-caliber contention despite limited PGA reps. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) holds firm despite a recent back injury withdrawal, while Ludvig Aberg (5.2%) and Xander Schauffele (4.6%) add depth via strong course history and current ball-striking. The bunched top reflects Augusta's unpredictability, weather variables, and a 90-plus-player field blending PGA and LIV stars, keeping upsets viable amid no clear dominator.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,433,030 Vol.
$63,433,030 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,433,030 Vol.
$63,433,030 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), world No. 1 ranking, and elite strokes-gained tee-to-green dominance matching Augusta National's demands for precise irons and par-5 scoring. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) have surged on recent LIV Golf form, with DeChambeau's playoff win over Rahm last week highlighting their major-caliber contention despite limited PGA reps. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) holds firm despite a recent back injury withdrawal, while Ludvig Aberg (5.2%) and Xander Schauffele (4.6%) add depth via strong course history and current ball-striking. The bunched top reflects Augusta's unpredictability, weather variables, and a 90-plus-player field blending PGA and LIV stars, keeping upsets viable amid no clear dominator.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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