Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$195-$200 100.0%
Abaixo de $185 <1%
$185-$190 <1%
$190-$195 <1%
$18,651 Vol.
$18,651 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
Abaixo de $185
Não
$185-$190
Não
$190-$195
Não
$195-$200
Sim
$200-$205
Não
$205-$210
Não
$210-$215
Não
$215-$220
Não
$220-$225
Não
$225-$230
Não
>$230
Não
$195-$200 100.0%
Abaixo de $185 <1%
$185-$190 <1%
$190-$195 <1%
$18,651 Vol.
$18,651 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
Abaixo de $185
$1,004 Vol.
Não
$185-$190
$1,446 Vol.
Não
$190-$195
$1,287 Vol.
Não
$195-$200
$3,501 Vol.
Sim
$200-$205
$2,061 Vol.
Não
$205-$210
$1,990 Vol.
Não
$210-$215
$1,099 Vol.
Não
$215-$220
$1,970 Vol.
Não
$220-$225
$1,626 Vol.
Não
$225-$230
$1,587 Vol.
Não
>$230
$1,080 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$18,651Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Amazon (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$18,651Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced at 100% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing the week of March 23 in the $195-$200 range, driven by the share price's tight trading channel around $197 amid low intraday volatility and thin volume typical of late-week sessions. Absent major catalysts like earnings releases—last reported strong AWS revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates in February—or macroeconomic shocks, the stock remains anchored by solid e-commerce margins and cloud computing dominance. This positioning aligns with recent sector stability in consumer discretionary amid cooling inflation data. Realistic challenges include a surprise broad market selloff tied to hotter-than-expected CPI or geopolitical flare-ups pushing prices below $195 before Friday's close, though such tail risks appear minimal given current VIX levels around 14.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions