Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 42% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 17, reflecting caution amid recent volatility from softening iPhone demand in China and broader tech sector rotation out of megacaps. AAPL traded at $228.15 in Friday's close, down 1.2% weekly, pressured by mixed Q1 earnings previews showing services growth offsetting hardware weakness, with revenue up 2% YoY to $119.6B but EPS missing at $2.17. Key supports loom at the 50-day SMA ($225), while resistance at $232 aligns with analyst targets from JPMorgan ($250). Watch March 12 CPI data for Fed rate cut signals boosting risk assets, alongside Apple's developer conference echoes on AI features, with resolution hinging on intraday momentum above VWAP $229.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$1,794 Vol.
Mar 17, 2026
$240
Sim
$245
Sim
$250
Sim
$255
Não
$260
Não
$1,794 Vol.
$240
$1,794 Vol.
Sim
$245
$0 Vol.
Sim
$250
$0 Vol.
Sim
$255
$0 Vol.
Não
$260
$0 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on March 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 42% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 17, reflecting caution amid recent volatility from softening iPhone demand in China and broader tech sector rotation out of megacaps. AAPL traded at $228.15 in Friday's close, down 1.2% weekly, pressured by mixed Q1 earnings previews showing services growth offsetting hardware weakness, with revenue up 2% YoY to $119.6B but EPS missing at $2.17. Key supports loom at the 50-day SMA ($225), while resistance at $232 aligns with analyst targets from JPMorgan ($250). Watch March 12 CPI data for Fed rate cut signals boosting risk assets, alongside Apple's developer conference echoes on AI features, with resolution hinging on intraday momentum above VWAP $229.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on March 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,794Data de Término
Mar 17, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 16, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on March 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 42% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 17, reflecting caution amid recent volatility from softening iPhone demand in China and broader tech sector rotation out of megacaps. AAPL traded at $228.15 in Friday's close, down 1.2% weekly, pressured by mixed Q1 earnings previews showing services growth offsetting hardware weakness, with revenue up 2% YoY to $119.6B but EPS missing at $2.17. Key supports loom at the 50-day SMA ($225), while resistance at $232 aligns with analyst targets from JPMorgan ($250). Watch March 12 CPI data for Fed rate cut signals boosting risk assets, alongside Apple's developer conference echoes on AI features, with resolution hinging on intraday momentum above VWAP $229.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple Inc. (AAPL) on March 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$1,794Data de Término
Mar 17, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 16, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 42% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 17, reflecting caution amid recent volatility from softening iPhone demand in China and broader tech sector rotation out of megacaps. AAPL traded at $228.15 in Friday's close, down 1.2% weekly, pressured by mixed Q1 earnings previews showing services growth offsetting hardware weakness, with revenue up 2% YoY to $119.6B but EPS missing at $2.17. Key supports loom at the 50-day SMA ($225), while resistance at $232 aligns with analyst targets from JPMorgan ($250). Watch March 12 CPI data for Fed rate cut signals boosting risk assets, alongside Apple's developer conference echoes on AI features, with resolution hinging on intraday momentum above VWAP $229.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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