Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $170 by March 29, propelled by the stock's climb to $172.80 amid robust Q1 services growth and Vision Pro launch momentum offsetting iPhone weakness in China. Recent DOJ antitrust suit alleging App Store monopoly has introduced volatility, but AI partnership buzz with OpenAI bolsters sentiment. With no earnings until May, focus shifts to Friday's close influenced by tech sector rotation and Nasdaq dynamics; historical end-of-March volatility for AAPL averages 1.8%, leaving room for mean reversion if broader market selloffs intensify.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$251,107 Vol.
$210
98%
$220
94%
$230
95%
$240
83%
US$ 250
48%
$260
19%
$270
5%
$280
10%
$290
2%
US$ 300
2%
$310
2%
$320
2%
US$330
1%
$251,107 Vol.
$210
98%
$220
94%
$230
95%
$240
83%
US$ 250
48%
$260
19%
$270
5%
$280
10%
$290
2%
US$ 300
2%
$310
2%
$320
2%
US$330
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $170 by March 29, propelled by the stock's climb to $172.80 amid robust Q1 services growth and Vision Pro launch momentum offsetting iPhone weakness in China. Recent DOJ antitrust suit alleging App Store monopoly has introduced volatility, but AI partnership buzz with OpenAI bolsters sentiment. With no earnings until May, focus shifts to Friday's close influenced by tech sector rotation and Nasdaq dynamics; historical end-of-March volatility for AAPL averages 1.8%, leaving room for mean reversion if broader market selloffs intensify.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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