Trader consensus heavily favors Aryna Sabalenka at 28% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, propelled by her booming serve and baseline power that excel on grass's fast, low-bouncing surface, evidenced by semifinals in 2021 and 2023 before recent shoulder issues. Elena Rybakina's near-tie at 19% stems from her proven pedigree as 2022 champion and flat trajectory shots thriving on turf, contrasting Iga Świątek's 19.3% nod to overall dominance despite grass vulnerabilities like a best-of Wimbledon quarterfinal. Differentiators include Rybakina's title experience versus Sabalenka's raw firepower and Świątek's superior consistency elsewhere, with a sprawling field highlighting youth surges from Coco Gauff and Mirra Andreeva amid injury uncertainties and two full seasons of variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 28%
Iga Świątek 19.3%
Elena Rybakina 19%
Coco Gauff 5%
$2,253,652 Vol.
$2,253,652 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
28%
Iga Świątek
19%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Liudmila Samsonova
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Emma Navarro
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
McCartney Kessler
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 28%
Iga Świątek 19.3%
Elena Rybakina 19%
Coco Gauff 5%
$2,253,652 Vol.
$2,253,652 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
28%
Iga Świątek
19%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Liudmila Samsonova
2%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Emma Navarro
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
McCartney Kessler
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Marta Kostyuk
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Aryna Sabalenka at 28% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, propelled by her booming serve and baseline power that excel on grass's fast, low-bouncing surface, evidenced by semifinals in 2021 and 2023 before recent shoulder issues. Elena Rybakina's near-tie at 19% stems from her proven pedigree as 2022 champion and flat trajectory shots thriving on turf, contrasting Iga Świątek's 19.3% nod to overall dominance despite grass vulnerabilities like a best-of Wimbledon quarterfinal. Differentiators include Rybakina's title experience versus Sabalenka's raw firepower and Świątek's superior consistency elsewhere, with a sprawling field highlighting youth surges from Coco Gauff and Mirra Andreeva amid injury uncertainties and two full seasons of variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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