Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26% implied probability, buoyed by her recent rise to world No. 1, US Open final run, and powerful serve thriving on grass despite her pre-quarterfinal withdrawal at Wimbledon 2024 due to shoulder issues. Iga Świątek trails at 18.3% amid her Olympic gold and clay dominance, but persistent early grass exits—like her 2024 third-round loss—cap her pricing. Elena Rybakina's 16% reflects her 2022 title and consistent deep Wimbledon runs as a grass specialist. The tight top-three cluster signals a wide-open futures market, with two years of injury risks, form swings, surface adaptations, and rising teens like Victoria Mboko keeping probabilities competitive amid WTA parity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 6.1%
$2,569,433 Vol.
$2,569,433 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
4%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 6.1%
$2,569,433 Vol.
$2,569,433 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
4%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 26% implied probability, buoyed by her recent rise to world No. 1, US Open final run, and powerful serve thriving on grass despite her pre-quarterfinal withdrawal at Wimbledon 2024 due to shoulder issues. Iga Świątek trails at 18.3% amid her Olympic gold and clay dominance, but persistent early grass exits—like her 2024 third-round loss—cap her pricing. Elena Rybakina's 16% reflects her 2022 title and consistent deep Wimbledon runs as a grass specialist. The tight top-three cluster signals a wide-open futures market, with two years of injury risks, form swings, surface adaptations, and rising teens like Victoria Mboko keeping probabilities competitive amid WTA parity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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