Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 23% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon crown, buoyed by her booming serve and flat-hitting style that thrives on fast grass, yet the market stays razor-tight with Elena Rybakina (17%), teen sensation Victoria Mboko (14.6%), and Iga Świątek (13.3%) clustered close behind. This parity stems from grass's serve-dominant nature, where upsets abound due to low-bounce conditions favoring power over baseline grinding—Rybakina's 2022 title and recent Bad Homburg win underscore her edge, Mboko's Wimbledon 2024 qualifying run and junior pedigree fuel breakout hype at age 18 by then, while Świątek's top ranking clashes with her modest grass record (one quarterfinal max). No entrenched champion post-Krejčíková's 2024 surprise keeps futures volatile amid youth surges and injury uncertainties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 23%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 15.3%
Iga Świątek 12.8%
$2,783,735 Vol.
$2,783,735 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
23%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
15%
Iga Świątek
13%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 23%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 15.3%
Iga Świątek 12.8%
$2,783,735 Vol.
$2,783,735 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
23%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
15%
Iga Świątek
13%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Xinyu Wang
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 23% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Wimbledon crown, buoyed by her booming serve and flat-hitting style that thrives on fast grass, yet the market stays razor-tight with Elena Rybakina (17%), teen sensation Victoria Mboko (14.6%), and Iga Świątek (13.3%) clustered close behind. This parity stems from grass's serve-dominant nature, where upsets abound due to low-bounce conditions favoring power over baseline grinding—Rybakina's 2022 title and recent Bad Homburg win underscore her edge, Mboko's Wimbledon 2024 qualifying run and junior pedigree fuel breakout hype at age 18 by then, while Świątek's top ranking clashes with her modest grass record (one quarterfinal max). No entrenched champion post-Krejčíková's 2024 surprise keeps futures volatile amid youth surges and injury uncertainties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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